Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.001992 0.002184 0.002376 0.002584 0.002800 0.003019 0.003256
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.001729 0.002038 0.002358 0.002714 0.003096 0.003492 0.003932
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001347 0.001731 0.002147 0.002625 0.003153 0.003713 0.004350
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001058 0.001497 0.001993 0.002582 0.003251 0.003977 0.004816
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000854 0.001337 0.001906 0.002603 0.003413 0.004310 0.005364
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000681 0.001192 0.001821 0.002616 0.003561 0.004625 0.005891
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000558 0.001092 0.001780 0.002673 0.003756 0.004992 0.006479
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000451 0.000998 0.001735 0.002718 0.003932 0.005335 0.007040
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000352 0.000898 0.001673 0.002734 0.004069 0.005631 0.007545
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000250 0.000773 0.001563 0.002681 0.004114 0.005814 0.007917
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000182 0.000689 0.001501 0.002682 0.004222 0.006068 0.008370
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000132 0.000622 0.001456 0.002701 0.004350 0.006344 0.008847
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000582 0.001454 0.002788 0.004578 0.006760 0.009514
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000561 0.001483 0.002921 0.004870 0.007262 0.010293
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000451 0.001355 0.002827 0.004866 0.007400 0.010640
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000009 0.000371 0.001265 0.002781 0.004921 0.007612 0.011076
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000001 0.000322 0.001223 0.002802 0.005065 0.007933 0.011646
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000275 0.001179 0.002815 0.005195 0.008237 0.012197
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000246 0.001165 0.002874 0.005388 0.008620 0.012844
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000217 0.001145 0.002920 0.005562 0.008979 0.013462
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000184 0.001109 0.002937 0.005693 0.009284 0.014013
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000140 0.001032 0.002881 0.005720 0.009450 0.014392
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000112 0.000991 0.002882 0.005824 0.009717 0.014894